How deep is airline loyalty to elite road warriors?

June 27, 2012

Ancillary Revenue, Passenger

Passport pic main istock 150x150 How deep is airline loyalty to elite road warriors?Airline frequent flyer programmes have transformed from simple schemes developed as a means to identify loyal customers to complex entities producing significant revenue for airlines. But as more customers build up miles, airlines face a delicate balance in ensuring they’re not spilling revenue as passengers line up to receive their just rewards.

Product unbundling and a new wave of merchandising by carriers has also created sensitivity among some elite passengers who believe their status is being diluted by the onslaught of passengers paying for the perks they’ve earned as hardened road warriors.

All these changes are occurring against a backdrop that sees airlines attempting to determine the best communication outlets for engaging with their frequent flyers; their own attempts to lure customers into airline-created online forums have been largely unsuccessful.

BANKING ON LOYALTY

Consultancy IdeaWorks estimates that United Airlines recorded USD 3 billion in revenue from its frequent flyer programme during 2010, while Delta Air Lines enjoyed USD 1.6 billion in revenue derived from its SkyMiles loyalty programme.

Airlines have achieved much of the staggering revenue they garner from frequent flyer activity by forging deep and complex relationships with banks. Together they offer powerful co-branded credit cards, which allow consumers to rack up miles for redemption of a wide variety of products. Banks have stepped in to help airlines bolster their cash coffers through loans of pre-purchased miles. “Banks have a lot of influence in what happens with frequent flyer programmes,” says IdeaWorks president for product, partnership and marketing practice Jay Sorensen. As such, frequent flyer programmes “have become a significant component of the consumer banking industry”, concludes IdeaWorks in its frequent flyer analysis ‘Loyalty by the Billions’.

American’s Express’ 2010 annual report reveals just how significant is its business with airlines. For instance, the company revealed that its co-branded Delta SkyMiles credit card accounted for about 5 per cent of its billed business of USD 713.3 billion worldwide. “That’s more than USD 35 billion of actual Amex card activity…which happens to exceed the annual revenue of the airline,” said American Express.

IdeaWorks, meanwhile, notes that the vast majority of the 114 billion miles sold by American Airlines in 2010 were purchased by Citibank, which is the primary issuer of credit cards in the carrier’s AAdvantage programme, and the bank likely paid more than USD 1 billion for the miles accrued by the cardholders.

Mingled in with the credit card activity is a significant amount of airline miles and points bought by hotel chains, car rental companies and retailers, says IdeaWorks. “These partners may lack the buying power of banks, but their participation adds benefits for consumers.”

Frequent flyer expert and editor of InsideFlyer Randy Petersen estimates that 60 per cent to 70 per cent of miles earned by customer stem from non-transportation sources, and the reality is that airline loyalty programmes have in essence become travel loyalty programmes. But IdeaWorks concludes that if airlines have a broad range of partners in their loyalty programmes, “accruing miles through travelling and shopping makes a programme more valuable to the member”.

A new tier of elite style credit cards have evolved that could further enhances airline revenues. American and Citi Cards in 2011debuted the ‘Executive AAdvantage World Elite MasterCard’ that fetches a UD 450 annual fee in exchange for annual perks that include admirals club membership for immediate family and up to two travelling guests, priority check-in, security screening and boarding regardless of the ticket price paid. Cardholders also enjoy waived baggage fees for domestic checked bags and up to eight companions travelling under the same itinerary and 10,000 AAdvantage elite qualifying miles after the first purchase of USD 40,000 within a calendar year.

“Programme members enjoy more choices and can opt to pay an annual fee for services they value,” says IdeaWorks. “Airlines can use co-branded credit cards as a new platform to sell annual subscriptions for a la carte services.”

DILUTION AND REVENUE SPILL

Even as they reap the revenue benefits by partnering with credit card companies to co-brand their loyalty programmes, airlines are aggressively unbundling their products to upsell the perks enjoyed by elite flyers to any customer willing to pay for priority boarding, lounge access or expedited security.

IdeaWorks president Sorensen remarks that while there has been some grousing over that issue on comment boards in the frequent flyer community, he doesn’t believe there is a danger of revenue cannibalisation.

United has roughly 1.6 million elite frequent flyer members, says Petersen, and the passengers that frequently purchase the upsells are infrequent travellers. He notes that the number of upgrades sold wouldn’t rival the number of elite passengers enjoying the free perks associated with their status.

The proliferation of ‘a la carte’ sales has even made some elite passengers realise the value of the perks they enjoy free-of-charge, Sorensen explains. However, he says, there is a risk of the airline overselling priority security access and boarding, which could degrade the experience of the elite passenger.

One emerging risk for airlines as the number of frequent flyers grows is losing revenue from ticketed passengers in order to accommodate passengers using redemptions, says Hamlin Transportation president George Hamlin.

In the US with average load factors at 80 per cent, airlines have had to cut off more revenue-paying passengers as reward passengers line up to redeem free trips. Hamlin concludes there was more capacity in the system at the inception of frequent flyer programmes when load factors averaged 60 per cent. He believes the higher number of travellers redeeming miles could actually hurt airline yields. Although airlines receive money up front from banks through their co-branded credit card deals, he questions if airlines “would be better off not having done this”.

LOW FARE, HIGH REDEMPTION

Low fare carriers are more likely to face an ever-growing number of passengers lining up for reward seats as they offer a higher level of seat redemption. The third annual ‘IdeaWorks-Switchfly Reward Seat Availability Survey’ shows that Southwest Airlines and Air Berlin were the most generous in allowing loyalty programme members to redeem seats, with every flight queried under the survey showing reward seat availability.

IdeaWorks and Switchfly based the survey on 6,680 booking queries made by IdeaWorks at websites of 23 frequent flyer programmes during March of this year for travel from June through October. A minimum of two reward seats was required for each outbound and inbound reward reservation query.

Joining Southwest and Air Berlin in the carriers scoring highest for seat redemption were Brazil’s Gol at 97.1 per cent, Lufthansa/Swiss/Austrian at 92.1 per cent and Singapore Airlines at 90.7 per cent. US Airways, Emirates and Delta rounded out the bottom of the list with seat reward availability at 33.6 per cent, 32.9 per cent and 27.1 per cent respectively.

AirTran Airways recorded a 40-point improvement year-over-year, brining its redemption percentage of 87.1 per cent, which put the carrier in a tie with United Airlines for the seventh place spot. The survey concluded AirTran’s big jump “likely indicates that Southwest is applying its generous reward allocation philosophy to the airline it acquired during 2011.

In addition to moving up the rankings in seat reward availability, United also improved its allocation of reward travel in a shorter five to 15 day booking window. Another element of the survey entailed 80 queries conducted in 13 April for departures 17 April through 27 April on the large US carriers American, Delta, United and US Airways. United improved its position by 22.5 points year-over-year after showing 87.5 per cent availability of reward travel in a shorter window. Delta was at the bottom of the list with a 25 per cent redemption rate, a 17-point drop from the year prior.

The seat redemption benefits that low-fare carriers offer is obviously popular with customers, but it does come at a price. The survey concludes that airlines that allocate meaningful inventory to seat redemption “do incur an opportunity cost for the seats not sold for cash”.

TRADING MILES FOR POINTS

One of the biggest stories within the frequent flyer community during the least 18 months was the introduction by Southwest of its Rapid Rewards 2.0 loyalty programme that adopted an ever-growing trend of points accumulation rather than allowing customers to collect credits for award travel redemption.

The basics of the new Southwest programme allot a greater number of points for redemption to higher fare classes versus the old scheme of earning one credit per flight regardless of the price or distance. Under Rapid Rewards 1.0 passengers earning 16 credits were eligible for a free ticket. Customer reaction to the new programme was mixed, as some frequent leisure customers felt disadvantaged by the changes. But Southwest during the last few years has made a push to increase its business traveller mix, and Sorensen concludes that ultimately “airlines care more about high price fares. They want more of those people”.

SOCIAL CURRENCY

Although social media stewardship is a standard business practice for nearly all airlines, online forums seem to remain the most effective means for carries to engage with their frequent flyers. Petersen remarks that Facebook and Twitter are largely reactionary outlets, allowing airlines to handle customer service issues or in some cases advertise various promotions to customers. American has separate Twitter and Facebook accounts for its AAadvantage loyalty programme, but as Petersen InsideFlyer’s publication declared those accounts “are not meant as a channel for AAdvantage customer relations issues”.

It appears the most success airlines have achieved in gauging the pulse of valuable frequent travellers is participation in online forums such as FlyerTalk and Milepoint, both created by Petersen, and other online forums created specifically for frequent travellers including FrequentFlyer.com. Some airlines have opted to have their own employees actively participate in those forums, with Lufthansa, Delta and United being particularly active. Continental, which merged with United in 2010, had been active in FlyerTalk for many years.

Airline experiments in launching these types of forums for themselves have largely been unmemorable. JetBlue Airways has achieved some level of success with its TrueBlue community, but Air France, British Airways and Virgin Atlantic have abandoned their own attempts at social networking through branded websites.

Essentially carriers that have build their own social branded networks to target frequent flyers and the broader passenger population at large have doubled back to traditional social media channels and the larger online frequent flyer forums. Petersen points it costs airlines nothing to access the millions of posts from their respective loyalty members on larger forums like Milestone. Delta appears to have struck the right balance between executing a strategy for traditional social media channels and engaging with frequent flyers in online forums. InsideFlyer notes the carrier dispatches its social media ambassadors on FlyerTalk to engage customers based on the topic of conversation such as e-commerce or mobile apps.

As trends in airline loyalty programmes continue to evolve their relevance remains strong, says Soresen. The credit card partnerships forged between airlines and banks are irreversible as IdeaWorks explains airlines have used the money provided by banks through the sale of miles to boost battered balance sheets.

“Frequent flyer programmes have become products unto themselves,” concludes IdeaWorks. “The allure of elite status encourages members to concentrate their purchasing power with their programme of choice…this is accomplished by remaining loyal to an airline and its partners even when competitors offer a better combination of schedule convenience, service quality, and price.”

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About Lori Ranson

Lori Ranson has spent more than a decade covering the commercial aviation industry, specialising in the North American market. Previously she was Americas Air Transport Editor for Flightglobal and currently is a Senior Analyst at the Centre For Aviation and a freelance journalist. Her coverage has touched on all aspects of commercial aviation, including marketing and distribution, network development, safety, maintenance, repair and overhaul, aircraft programmes, alliances, regulatory developments and finance.

View all posts by Lori Ranson
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